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Sensex Today: Equity Inflows Surge to ₹42,672 Crore; Jefferies Bullish on BPCL, IOCL, and SBI as PSU Banks & Metals Shine

Indian markets witness strong equity inflows, oil & gas stocks rise, metals gain; Jefferies maintains 'buy' on BPCL, IOCL, SBI.

Sensex Today: Strong Equity Inflows, Brokerage Buys, and Sectoral Gains Drive Market Sentiment


Market Overview – August 11, 2025

After weeks of mixed performance, the Indian equity markets saw a surge in net equity inflows, improved sectoral performance in Oil & Gas and Metals, and renewed investor optimism backed by strong brokerage calls.


Surge in Equity Inflows Signals Renewed Confidence

Monthly Inflow Data Points

  • Net equity inflows stood at ₹42,672 crore in August, nearly doubling from ₹23,568 crore in the previous month.
  • Total AUM rose to ₹75.35 lakh crore from ₹74.40 lakh crore month-on-month (MoM).

Category-Wise Inflows

  • Large-cap funds: ₹2,125 crore inflow vs ₹1,694 crore MoM.
  • Mid-cap funds: ₹5,182 crore inflow vs ₹3,754 crore MoM.

This reflects broad-based investor participation with particular strength in mid-cap stocks, suggesting appetite for higher risk-reward opportunities.


Brokerage Highlights – Jefferies Remains Bullish

Oil & Gas – BPCL & IOCL Buy Ratings

Jefferies maintained its ‘Buy’ rating on BPCL and IOCL citing:

  1. ₹30,000 crore LPG subsidy as a major positive for profitability.
  2. ₹41,300 crore in incurred losses set to boost future earnings through recovery mechanisms.
  3. Ongoing benefits from strong marketing margins in the Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs).

Banking – SBI Buy Rating

For SBI, Jefferies reiterated its ‘Buy’ call with a target price of ₹970, highlighting:

  1. Q1 profits beating estimates due to higher treasury gains and lower operating expenses.
  2. Steady loan growth at 12% with NIM decline of only 10 bps QoQ, matching expectations.
  3. Stable asset quality, with a gross NPL ratio at just 1.8%.
  4. Retained RoA guidance at 1% and domestic NIM at 3%.

Sector Performance – Oil & Gas Lead Gainers

Top Gainers in BSE Oil & Gas (Intra-day)

Company CMP (₹) Change (%) Volume
Adani Total Gas 593.55 +1.55 36.19k
IOC 141.10 +0.86 421.39k
GAIL 172.15 +0.58 206.81k
Reliance 1,373.50 +0.41 604.69k
BPCL 320.60 +0.33 305.78k
ONGC 233.20 +0.04 71.25k

Top Losers in BSE Oil & Gas (Intra-day)

Company CMP (₹) Change (%) Volume
Oil India 420.75 -2.54 35.95k
Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL) 407.50 -0.50 379.99k
Petronet LNG 272.60 -0.18 20.13k
IGL 201.85 -0.12 28.85k

Nifty Metal Index Gains 0.5%

Top Gainers in Nifty Metal (Intra-day)

Company CMP (₹) Change (%) Volume
Adani Enterprises 2,283.80 +4.85 1.77m
Jindal Steel 987.65 +1.39 405.25k
JSW Steel 1,058.50 +0.89 508.68k
SAIL 121.42 +0.29 6.69m
APL Apollo 1,586.90 +0.27 133.72k

Investor Sentiment – Balancing Optimism with Caution

The inflow surge suggests rising domestic investor confidence, but global cues remain mixed. With oil prices stabilizing and commodity demand strong, cyclical sectors could drive further gains.


Technical & Fundamental Outlook

  • Sensex: Resistance near 81,000, support at 80,200.
  • Nifty: Resistance at 24,500, support at 24,300.
  • Oil & Gas valuations remain attractive, with PSU banks offering favorable risk-reward profiles.
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